Wednesday, March 30, 2011

2011 Projected National League Standings

In honor of Opening Day, here are the projected standings from Baseball Prospectus and Las Vegas.  The Vegas over/under lines are as of March 1st; BP projected standings were pulled on March 29th.

The two takeaways for me is that Vegas loves pitching (Phillies and Astros), while nobody has yet created an algorithm that can detect the stench emanating from the Pirates and Mets.  Computers always underestimate the 'crushed soul' factor.  It's very real.

BP and Vegas are in agreement over the Nationals and I see no reason why anyone should expect anything drastically different than 72 wins.  Hopefully I'm missing something - an Espinosa 30/30 season?  Zimmermann for NL Cy Young? - I guess we'll see starting tomorrow.  Go Nats.

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