Showing posts with label Run Differential. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Run Differential. Show all posts

Monday, February 28, 2011

The Two Ways to Win More Games

Last season the Nationals scored 655 runs and allowed 742, for a run differential of -87 and an overall record of 69-93.  Respectively, those outcomes ranked 14th, 12th, 13th, and 14th in the NL.

What's the most efficient way to reduce post-game scenes like this one?
It is obvious that run differential is highly determinative of a team's record.  It is equally obvious that there are two paths to improvement - (1) score more runs; (2) allow fewer runs.  A huge amount of virtual ink has been spilled on nationals.com advocating for improved defense and declaring the team's offense to be adequate.  In reality, though:
  • Does it matter whether the team's run differential is improved through RA or RS?
  • For a given run differential, how much does the overall level of RA and RS matter?
  • Generally, what can be said about RA vs. RS improvements?